Predictions of the demise of labor's electoral clout as a result of the Iowa caucusses are premature. Labor unions were successful in getting the vote out. 23% of Iowa caucus attendees were members of unions -- a disproportionately high figure compared with the 13.6% of Iowa workers who belong to unions.
Where the unions didn't succeed was in selling one (or two) specific labor candidates-- because there weren't one (Gephardt) or two (Dean) candidates who stood head & shoulders above the others on issues important to labor. In fact, allthe Democratic candidates had good labor positions.
Following the disastrous 1994 election, the labor movement finally realized that it was no longer adequate to just tell members who to vote for. The secret was to educate union members about the issues, tell them where each candidate stands on the issues, get them to the polls (by firing them up & addressing logistics), then hoping like hell they'll put it all together & vote correctly.
And this is how labor has been successful lately -- especially in 2000. It didn't work so well in2002, because members weren't fired up by the weak Democratic response to Bush & stayed home.
In Iowa yesterday, union members came out in large numbers, but made up their own minds, based on the information they had (much of it supplied by the unions), about who to vote for.
Contrary to the Iowa caucuses being a loss for labor, I think this bodes well for labor's influence in November as long as the education process goes well AND the Democratic candidate presents a real alternative. While the results of the Iowa caucuses were not necessarily bad for labor in general, they were bad for the individual unions that put a lot of resources into individual candidates.
In other words, the Iowa results raise serious questions about the advisability of committing significant resources to primary contests where there are a number of viable labor-friendly candidates. Maybe in this situation it would have been better for unions to keep their powder dry until the Democratic dust settles and the differences between the Democratic and Republican candidates are more real.
-- Jordan Barab, Confined Space: Commentary on Workplace Safety & Health and Labor Issues